The model.
The market.
The gap.
Strikey rates every upcoming match against the book consensus and surfaces the disagreement. Track your picks, follow sharp tipsters, see the edge before kickoff.
Edge
Model rates France 6% higher than the market.
Moneyline
Totals
Every match. Every market. One board.
The model's probabilities for every upcoming match, side by side with the devigged book consensus. Filter by market, sort by edge, see the disagreement at a glance.
What strikey surfaces on every match.
Last-20 form, xG, and head-to-head feed a pattern detector. The signals that beat random noise float to the top, bucketed by attack, defense, and match shape.
Notable trends
France scored in 5 of last 5 matches
Senegal scored in 8 of last 10 matches
Over 2.5 goals trend on both teams
France kept clean sheet in 4 of last 10 matches
Senegal conceded in 7 of last 10 matches
France unbeaten in last 7 matches
Total > 2.5 goals in 9 of France's last 10 matches
Season-level context, every match.
Six diverging bars compare both teams on the metrics that actually move lines. The leading side per row carries the tone, so you read the matchup in seconds.
Records & trends
Last 15 games at a glance.
Each bar is one match. Hover for the scoreline, clean sheet, BTTS, O2.5. Tap to drop into the match deep-dive and see why.
Form
Goalscorers, cards, shots. Edges over the consensus line.
The model rates every prop on the slate and ranks them by the gap to the devigged book line. Positive edges first, then the soft fades.
Player props · ranked by edge
Where the model sees the gap.
Independent Poisson rates the match. Six sharp books are devigged for the consensus. The difference is the edge, in percentage points, not vibes.
Model vs market
Verdict. Model leans France. Edge over market is 6 pp on France win at fair-priced 1.72.
What you actually get.
A model that argues with the bookies, the research you'd normally do by hand, and an honest record of every pick you've tracked.
Model vs Market
An in-house Poisson model tilted by recent form, FIFA rank, and squad rating, then blended with the sharp consensus. The gap is the edge.
One screen, full research
Form charts, injuries, squads, head-to-head, goal heatmaps, standings. The 30 minutes of tabs, already compiled.
Track every pick
Tap Track on any pick and Strikey grades it the moment the match finishes. Your hit rate, ROI, and CLV update in real time, public if you want it.
The room you wish your
betting group chat was.
Follow tipsters with a real, auto-graded record. Comment on matches. Compare your track record. No paywalled Telegram channels, no anonymous "lock of the day" guys.
- 1
+13.7%@notasportsguru1,842 picks · 64% hit rate - 2
+9.8%@sharpriver287 picks · 60% hit rate - 3
+7.4%@calibratebets412 picks · 58% hit rate - 4
+5.9%@edgepicks198 picks · 56% hit rate - 5
+4.6%@lineshopper263 picks · 55% hit rate
Books move. We model.
You see the gap.
We watch the market and the matches.
Six sharp price feeds. Recent form, FIFA rank, player ratings, injuries. Pulled, cleaned, and time-stamped so the inputs are honest before any model touches them.
We run the model and devig the books.
Poisson xG tilted by form, rank, squad rating, and absences. The book consensus stripped of its margin. Both views land on the same row, side by side.
You see the gap and the trail.
Where the model and the books disagree is the edge. Tap Track on any pick and Strikey grades it the moment the match finishes. Your record is yours.
69 leagues. Top flights, cups, and the rest.
The five big European leagues, the major cups, the Americas, plus every major competition where books post prices.
+ 49 more competitions covered worldwide.
Browse every leagueFrequently asked questions
Quick answers on the mechanics.
What is strikey.io?
An in-house model that argues with the bookies, a one-screen research panel for every fixture (form, injuries, head-to-head, lineups, goal heatmaps), and a public track record for the picks you tap to follow. Free during early access.
What is Model vs Market?
Our model rates every outcome (1X2, totals, BTTS). The sharp book consensus, with the margin stripped out, says what the market thinks. The gap is the edge. When the model rates Spain 79% and the market has them at 91%, the bookies see something the model doesn't. When the model rates Brazil 12pp higher than the market, that's where you sharpen your research.
How is the model built?
Poisson expected-goals baseline from weighted recent form (last 8 matches, exponential decay), tilted by FIFA rank delta on international fixtures, adjusted for top-scorer absences, and shrunk toward the squad quality implied by player ratings. Then blended 40/60 with the devigged market and clamped to a sane range. The model contributes a sanity tilt; the books carry the bulk.
How often does the model rebuild?
Match results sync every 10 minutes after a fixture finishes, pick settlement runs every 5 minutes, and the model board recomputes whenever you load it. There's no stale state, open a match page and you're looking at the latest version.
Can I track my own picks?
Yes. Tap Track on any pick and Strikey grades it automatically when the match finishes. Your hit rate, ROI, CLV, and streak update in real time. Public profile is opt-in: you can keep your record private or share it with a single switch.
Which leagues do you cover?
25+ competitions: Premier League, LaLiga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1, UCL, UEL, Conference League, FA Cup, Copa del Rey, MLS, Liga MX, Brasileirão, Eredivisie, Primeira Liga, Championship, plus international tournaments including the FIFA World Cup. Player-level data layers on top of every covered league.
Where does your price data come from?
We aggregate the price feeds that move first when news breaks (the books professional traders watch) into a consensus that drives the market column. We don't name the books in the product because Strikey is research, not a sportsbook directory.
What about player props?
Goals, assists, shots, shots on target, cards, fouls. Each prop comes with hit rates across last 5, 10, 20, and the season. Player props live inside each team and player page; team markets stay primary.
Is there a leaderboard?
Yes. Tipsters ranked by a composite score that blends hit rate, ROI, units, and volume, so a 70% sample of 5 picks doesn't outrank a 58% record over 200. You can filter by league specialty and follow the tipsters whose research style matches yours.
How does following work?
Follow a tipster and their new picks show up in your feed. You see their reasoning if they wrote notes, the market they took, and the result once the match settles. No paywall, no private telegram channel; everything visible to followers is visible publicly.
Can I comment on matches?
Each match has a discussion thread; comments and replies are visible to anyone logged in. Mute and block are one tap. Moderation is light but firm.
Is strikey.io free?
Yes, fully free during early access. Everyone who signs up now keeps free access while we figure out paid tiers. No card needed, no trial countdown.
How does sign up work?
Google sign-in is instant. Or use email and we send a magic link. No password, no card.
Is this tipping?
No. We don't tell you what to bet. We show the math (fair prices, model vs market, edge percentages, hit rates) and you decide. Nothing here is financial advice.
Open a match.
See the gap.
The model, the books, and the community on one screen. Track every pick. Share your record. Free during early access.
18+/21+ depending on region. Not financial advice. Betting involves risk.